Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f0dc54ffd9edf77447ec27defdae492c51ac7d8896237a80e65d936e15556a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 47c | 2,520$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.78 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 2,224$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 1,466$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,244$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.54 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 976.02$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.07 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 833.47$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.07 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 47c | 829.88$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.1 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 815.88$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 53c | 732.68$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.82 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 47c | 711.43$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 338.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 225.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 54c | 223$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -9.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 56c | 207.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 171.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 46c | 156.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 73c | 126.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 15c | 98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 45c | 94.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 46c | 88.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 85.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 84.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 46c | 65.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Yes | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 32c | 52.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 48.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 43.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 45c | 38.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 52c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 51c | 30.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…6f19backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Yes | 53c | 26.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 54c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.