Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a012012a1563aa32c7bdd35c5a76b95e18d140041286e229515ef15c15fa787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,974$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.52 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 1,397$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.56 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 23c | 594.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.79 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 497$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.69 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 420.09$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 396.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 341.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 23c | 210.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 58c | 127.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 107.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 42c | 107.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 106.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 95.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 94.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 71c | 80.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 61c | 68.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.