TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd8e…f023backed Over64c2,602$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.187737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under36c2,308$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.125750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under37c2,080$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.763354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under38c1,800$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.9711443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6975152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over66c1,340$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over69c1,286$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fc…7162backed Under41c1,259$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under34c1,080$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2711843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under39c960.58$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.229149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c808.09$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5799435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under39c639.45$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.381020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c615.39$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0948947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Over60c486.98$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.151764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under39c482.09$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…19a9backed Over66c481.55$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under44c463.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.211330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under40c422$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.179262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c356.89$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5440250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under41c350.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7387531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c336.24$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7260648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Under37c299.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.681735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over62c275.12$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.672339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c255.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.437753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over79c249.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.022766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under35c230.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0611450.9%58 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Over62c208.58$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x396b…2ef5backed Over59c198$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b07…a7c5backed Over54c197.33$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under43c180.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.283354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under40c176.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.724447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1534…5b56backed Over56c174.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Over56c174.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.933548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.494938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x073f…4da1backed Over60c155.31$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Over66c148.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Under37c148.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over55c132.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.854551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under44c122.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da9…f247backed Over56c122.17$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over63c119.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.082035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76fb…5ef5backed Under43c112.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over63c111$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.075048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980d…b616backed Over62c110.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7429…28b4backed Under45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6a…81d6backed Under40c101.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0670…2bf0backed Over59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.574562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over66c94.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over59c93.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.957341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62c6…bcfcbacked Over63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…a845backed Under15c77.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…5103backed Over56c76.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Under38c58.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.146147.5%29 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over62c48.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1292…9e7cbacked Over63c47.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+114.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054a…d622backed Under37c47.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Over64c45.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over56c45.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.684447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.064827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f2…f86fbacked Over59c35.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x278b…743dbacked Over56c35.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over58c33.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.217052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Under43c33.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.495846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over59c33.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.692646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a4b…3b89backed Over56c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595a…d3acbacked Under38c31.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.496958%40 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under47c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.140%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over59c29.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over55c29.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.143655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Over60c27.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.212080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc370…02bfbacked Over62c25.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under42c23.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over65c23.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.223265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf681…f115backed Over63c23.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x638e…e23ebacked Over63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed Over65c21.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4d…d358backed Over54c20.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775f…81a5backed Over59c19.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1ee1backed Over56c19.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ef…7f11backed Over65c15.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.