TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes42c996.75$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6420250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea51…8915backed No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5720447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No55c132.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.568838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…c304backed No56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes43c90.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6851250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes43c76.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.981,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f2…f86fbacked No69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.465137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes40c71.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No60c65.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.413865.2%90 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c50.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…e8dfbacked No64c46.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b4…5199backed No59c40.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No55c40.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.354450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d02…8c5dbacked No58c27.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed No57c24.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No55c22.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.016358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b0…657bbacked No59c21.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1385…e96abacked No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb532…8577backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc29…b3b6backed No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6d4…3e55backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.