Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d899c1b53345025893646775e7c8624fa34d4856b6b52723cc2513927adcbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 47c | 1,327$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.55 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 51c | 1,173$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 1,095$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.78 | 2,248 | 37.3%838 W · 1,410 L | -33.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 49c | 975$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.75 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 740.84$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.46 | 1,528 | 50.5%772 W · 756 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 48c | 732.84$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 511.48$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Under | 55c | 506.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 70c | 407.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…9452backed Over | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 50c | 235.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 44c | 217.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Under | 17c | 148.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 112.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1,145 | 30.7%352 W · 793 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Over | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 290 | 59%171 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 27c | 79.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 2,545 | 47.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L | -35.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 471 | 52%245 W · 226 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 47c | 62.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…40febacked Over | 48c | 59.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 48c | 47.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1,578 | 48.5%765 W · 813 L | +18.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 48c | 47.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked Over | 64c | 23.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…b7f5backed Over | 79c | 23.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Over | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…b342backed Over | 73c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 3?Weibo Gaming won
- Game Handicap: WB (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-InLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.