TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: WB (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof Weibo Gaming, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,155 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed LGD Gaming50c7,500$3,750 inWon+$3,75059854.2%324 W · 274 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Weibo Gaming50c5,929$2,964 inLost-$2,964.362853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Weibo Gaming50c4,860$2,430 inLost-$2,43021953.9%118 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LGD Gaming50c4,860$2,430 inWon+$2,4301,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed LGD Gaming49c1,500$728 inWon+$771.7830050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed Weibo Gaming48c1,469$703 inLost-$702.996538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Weibo Gaming50c1,000$500 inLost-$50012649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LGD Gaming50c1,000$499 inWon+$500.831,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Weibo Gaming53c999.98$530 inLost-$529.9947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed LGD Gaming48c968$467 inWon+$500.7215146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Weibo Gaming47c945.69$443 inLost-$443.0514352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Weibo Gaming50c900$450 inLost-$45029338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked LGD Gaming50c795.72$398 inWon+$397.8614549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Weibo Gaming50c600$300 inLost-$3001,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Weibo Gaming54c550.6$300 inLost-$30051256.1%287 W · 225 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed LGD Gaming52c530.34$276 inWon+$254.5659750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LGD Gaming53c487.29$258 inWon+$229.031,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Weibo Gaming47c483.95$229 inLost-$228.8152344.9%235 W · 288 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked LGD Gaming49c431.57$211 inWon+$220.111344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LGD Gaming54c399.99$216 inWon+$1842,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Weibo Gaming51c382.35$195 inLost-$1951060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…51a6backed Weibo Gaming50c381.24$191 inLost-$190.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Weibo Gaming48c357.51$171 inLost-$171.523831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LGD Gaming47c309.04$145 inWon+$163.792,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Weibo Gaming67c300$201 inLost-$20139152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed LGD Gaming54c299.01$162 inWon+$137.3219437.6%73 W · 121 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked LGD Gaming49c226.6$112 inWon+$114.9822142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed LGD Gaming58c220.33$129 inWon+$91.6332755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LGD Gaming45c200$90 inWon+$11086649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LGD Gaming50c200$100 inWon+$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed LGD Gaming55c181.82$100 inWon+$81.8212441.1%51 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Weibo Gaming50c161$81 inLost-$80.524032.1%77 W · 163 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked LGD Gaming50c148$74 inWon+$7447434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Weibo Gaming53c131.11$70 inLost-$7049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Weibo Gaming45c122.01$55 inLost-$54.91,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked LGD Gaming52c116.18$60 inWon+$56.1861256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Weibo Gaming36c110$39 inLost-$39.22,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Weibo Gaming51c109.23$56 inLost-$55.717042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Weibo Gaming48c104.17$50 inLost-$507054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Weibo Gaming47c100$47 inLost-$4768063.4%431 W · 249 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Weibo Gaming50c100$50 inLost-$5010942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Weibo Gaming53c99.99$53 inLost-$52.9942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Weibo Gaming51c95$48 inLost-$48.451,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Weibo Gaming52c90.24$47 inLost-$46.9324650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed LGD Gaming53c78.85$41 inWon+$37.475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed Weibo Gaming47c76.43$36 inLost-$36.2523848.7%116 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed LGD Gaming33c75$25 inWon+$50.2532253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Weibo Gaming50c61.36$31 inLost-$30.6833838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed LGD Gaming52c57.69$30 inWon+$27.6915857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Weibo Gaming52c57.69$30 inLost-$309344.1%41 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Weibo Gaming55c57.24$31 inLost-$31.4820153.7%108 W · 93 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Weibo Gaming54c46.34$25 inLost-$2564435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed LGD Gaming47c39.53$19 inWon+$20.9574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Weibo Gaming51c39.22$20 inLost-$205242.3%22 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed LGD Gaming51c37$19 inWon+$18.135367.9%36 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x429c…a974backed LGD Gaming60c35$21 inWon+$1416754.5%91 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Weibo Gaming51c31.63$16 inLost-$16.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Weibo Gaming50c30$15 inLost-$158242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Weibo Gaming52c28.85$15 inLost-$1536244.2%160 W · 202 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Weibo Gaming50c23.18$12 inLost-$11.6660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Weibo Gaming52c22.31$12 inLost-$11.637650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked LGD Gaming47c22$10 inWon+$11.6615240.1%61 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LGD Gaming53c21$11 inWon+$9.8786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.