Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d207f6188ce047fa63f3721192c57830b4ad78542e24fe00e5b0b596191cc35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed Yes | 20c | 552.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 16c | 430.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 15c | 398.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…35debacked Yes | 18c | 337.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 79c | 336.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 18c | 279.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 272.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 80c | 253.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 79c | 252.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…df61backed No | 77c | 245.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 17c | 240$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 20c | 213.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 18c | 200.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 18c | 193.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 185.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…65cfbacked Yes | 24c | 180.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed No | 79c | 177.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 19c | 172.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 166.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 164.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 151.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…8f7abacked No | 75c | 149.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 34c | 144.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 138.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed Yes | 19c | 133.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 78c | 133.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 122.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 34c | 121.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 73c | 119.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 118.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 21c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 79c | 112.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 107.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 21c | 106.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…b3a5backed Yes | 14c | 103.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 29c | 101.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…544abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 21c | 93.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 92.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 92.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Yes | 16c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 19c | 89.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…3304backed Yes | 19c | 85.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 79c | 79.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 16c | 78.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 14c | 77.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…7b02backed Yes | 33c | 76.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 73.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 77c | 71.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…a917backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…f1fcbacked Yes | 18c | 66.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…70c2backed Yes | 25c | 64.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 78c | 64.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 20c | 61.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…eaaebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 21c | 57.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 78c | 55.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…f898backed Yes | 28c | 52.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 51.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 49.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…26a6backed Yes | 24c | 46.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 77c | 45.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 45.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 30c | 41.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 40.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0820…4b09backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…ab35backed Yes | 28c | 39.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 79c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 29c | 37.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 75c | 36.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 77c | 36.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 76c | 35.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 77c | 30.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…7eb2backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 66c | 25.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 21.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 77c | 21.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 78c | 20.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 74c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.