Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e36facf675bd3f7d40c35a9314354fc6c4c210e5bd9a8f0b24bb283fec51ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee24…bd15backed Yes | 13c | 8,190$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.96 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,500$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…13babacked Yes | 6c | 1,060$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 1,041$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 472.9$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 80c | 423.35$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 72c | 363.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 350.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked Yes | 5c | 314.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 52c | 296.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 60c | 281.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 51c | 274.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 70c | 240.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 66c | 237.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 67c | 225.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 47c | 216.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 75c | 187$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 183.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 172.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 166$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 164.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 64c | 161.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 157.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 71c | 155.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 151.86$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 38c | 148.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 70c | 140.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 31c | 140.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 134.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 69c | 129.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…42f0backed Yes | 79c | 128.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 58c | 118.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 10c | 117.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 78c | 110.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 69c | 108.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 75c | 108.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 45c | 107.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 73c | 100.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Yes | 38c | 98.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed No | 32c | 97.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked No | 71c | 89.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 63c | 85.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a43cbacked No | 35c | 83.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 58c | 80.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 33c | 79.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 25c | 78.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 75.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 73c | 69.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 36c | 57.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 78c | 56.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 42c | 54.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 35c | 53.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 65c | 51.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 39c | 51.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 51.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…64b6backed Yes | 40c | 47.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 73c | 47.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 47.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 57c | 45.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 63c | 41.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 79c | 39.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 65c | 34.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 58c | 32.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 35c | 30.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed No | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 76c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 23.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…3300backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 73c | 22.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…0d2cbacked Yes | 75c | 22.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 47c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…ab98backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 68c | 19.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 73c | 18.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 65c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 65c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 75c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 80c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.