Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d0df5b6f375a7339b9477df4f09f6795c927ffc665af4ac6ead1f1456c18ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ce7…cfaabacked Yes | 0c | 12,320$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,587$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.05 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 50c | 647.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.77 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 639.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 30c | 328.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 212.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 193.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 187.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 45c | 184.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 71c | 161.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 152.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…a93bbacked Yes | 57c | 152.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 234 | 36.3%85 W · 149 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 44c | 151.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 73c | 151$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73e0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 133.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 45c | 133.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 68c | 130.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 37c | 128.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…3968backed No | 68c | 122.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 119.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 108.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 106.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 30c | 103.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…8739backed No | 48c | 103.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…29f0backed Yes | 30c | 102.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 101.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 33c | 89.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed Yes | 69c | 89.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 37c | 86.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 38c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 63c | 77.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 73.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 63c | 72.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked No | 63c | 68.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 67.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…f270backed Yes | 20c | 66.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Yes | 40c | 63.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 37c | 63.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 33c | 59.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 68c | 58.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 38c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 55.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 67c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…e7fdbacked Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 66c | 52.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 20c | 52.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 42c | 51.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 70c | 51.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 56c | 50.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 40c | 50.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 43c | 50.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 37c | 49.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…4172backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 31c | 46.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 32c | 43.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…35debacked Yes | 35c | 41.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…b569backed No | 51c | 41.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 59c | 41.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 41.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 37c | 39.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 67c | 37.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 34c | 35.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed No | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 45c | 33.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Yes | 31c | 33.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 158 | 34.2%54 W · 104 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 36c | 32.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed No | 31c | 31.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 57c | 29.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a43cbacked No | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…9981backed Yes | 37c | 27.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 54c | 26.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 72c | 26.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 48c | 25.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +583.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 66c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…d435backed Yes | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 54c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…a5a8backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.