Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7c2e4f1f910f9735b2bc6a03c9f3d8611d330453ebc06494b4a6fe697c422b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,512$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.92 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 67c | 890.18$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 769.07$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Yes | 71c | 663.62$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 65c | 538.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 66c | 292.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 33c | 212.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 33c | 179.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 173.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 32c | 166.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 35c | 127.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 65c | 126.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 92.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 69c | 72.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 65.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 67c | 60.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 66c | 60.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 66c | 56.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 65c | 51.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…ead9backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 35c | 31.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 67c | 24.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.