Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a651f85c112fa69c71746388f28cab35f8b49497e78d4501703e084dff3cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Yes | 34c | 438.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 383.49$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 348.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 205.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 61c | 175.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 47c | 128.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 101.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 61c | 82.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 59.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 40.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 39c | 30.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…8187backed No | 40c | 29.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d0…b5d0backed Yes | 61c | 25.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…ab48backed Yes | 61c | 19.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-2.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.