Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b6cc20c8040a6c30ee264e26540b61aa0edbe0fd89dcc43a0426ef708d7f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof Clemson Tigers, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 20,078$10,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.08 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 19,772$9,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,095.12 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 669.49$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.5 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 46c | 639.52$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 366.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f66…28fabacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 357.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 259.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 249$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 204$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 100.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 80.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 74.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 62.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 62.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 52.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Clemson Tigers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Clemson Tigers | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 63c | 40.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 31.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…86f9backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)this page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Clemson TigersNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 141.5Over won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.