Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. Wichita State Shockers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c47c139ac7e41e39f03fb18e33db27b27c63a23f97889a2e5c2b2b544f6b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Florida Bulls | 55c | 5,038$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.55 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 2,591$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.97 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 2,487$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.28 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers | 42c | 2,132$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 1,487$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.83 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked South Florida Bulls | 56c | 1,078$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Wichita State Shockers | 44c | 1,077$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed South Florida Bulls | 55c | 709.24$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wichita State Shockers | 30c | 689.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked South Florida Bulls | 54c | 620$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 540$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wichita State Shockers | 62c | 525.38$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked South Florida Bulls | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked South Florida Bulls | 36c | 499.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed South Florida Bulls | 58c | 423.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 312.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wichita State Shockers | 55c | 297$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked South Florida Bulls | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South Florida Bulls | 51c | 267.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 265.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers | 55c | 240.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls | 60c | 136.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 135.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 43c | 129.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wichita State Shockers | 58c | 126.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wichita State Shockers | 59c | 124$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 119.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…8688backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 109.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed South Florida Bulls | 37c | 108.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Wichita State Shockers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked South Florida Bulls | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 96.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked South Florida Bulls | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…0575backed South Florida Bulls | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed South Florida Bulls | 38c | 86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 20c | 79.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wichita State Shockers | 54c | 74.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Wichita State Shockers | 39c | 70.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed South Florida Bulls | 45c | 56.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked South Florida Bulls | 63c | 50.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wichita State Shockers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Wichita State Shockers | 63c | 46.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wichita State Shockers | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 42.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 40.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe431…89d6backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 36.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed South Florida Bulls | 58c | 36.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed South Florida Bulls | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked South Florida Bulls | 47c | 30.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed South Florida Bulls | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wichita State Shockers | 44c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked South Florida Bulls | 77c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked South Florida Bulls | 44c | 25.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wichita State Shockers | 46c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida Bulls vs. Wichita State Shockersthis page
- South Florida Bulls vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 159.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 160.5Under won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-1.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.