MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x510797d5277718b21125eaec41b132fbe413c07e90734f2388a9c6e7edcb94d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 25,212$13,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,597.49 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 12,963$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.88 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 7,222$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.12 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 4,371$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.69 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,869$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.72 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 52c | 2,556$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.03 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 1,460$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.42 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 1,224$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.04 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 55c | 762.43$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.72 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 682$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.64 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 585.9$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 55c | 585$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 45c | 575.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 55c | 535.71$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 396.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 46c | 342.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 55c | 323.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 318.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 318$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 286$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 48c | 286$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 46c | 259.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 63c | 217.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 9c | 143.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 46c | 130.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 99.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 57.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Over | 46c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 24.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.