MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ffd2a9104dcd7814a72496078966072a504a75c1598608801517a37ad775fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 17c | 3,081$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 2,963$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.62 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 2,515$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 1,447$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 1,195$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.44 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 892.37$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 17c | 834.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 490$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 397$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Texas Rangers | 11c | 316.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 305.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 164.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 160.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 78.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 67.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 66.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 63.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Texas Rangers | 17c | 59.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 30.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.