Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3016b2f98b1899a42555f71bf92c26487470aad8f3d4970e6daa4675536f1bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Under | 60c | 6,191$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.6 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 40c | 5,177$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 60c | 3,425$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.87 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 40c | 2,892$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.2 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 40c | 1,446$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.6 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 64c | 948.94$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.32 | 255 | 47.5%121 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 64c | 762.85$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.22 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 38c | 680$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…1de8backed Over | 40c | 609$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 40c | 491.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 39c | 322.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 61c | 313.79$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Under | 70c | 247.73$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 61c | 196.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 195.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 42c | 190.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 70c | 140.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 11c | 135.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Under | 61c | 123.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 62c | 118.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 73c | 107.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 14c | 107.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Under | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 40c | 102.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 289 | 59.9%173 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 31c | 94.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 31c | 76.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 72.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Under | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Under | 70c | 70.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 62c | 62.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Under | 61c | 56.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 228 | 40.8%93 W · 135 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Over | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 40c | 35.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 40c | 34.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 79c | 31.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 61c | 29.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 61c | 29.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 41c | 28.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 71c | 27.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 61c | 25.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 40c | 25.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…e7b6backed Under | 64c | 19.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Under | 61c | 18.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…b959backed Over | 73c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.