TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof NRG, KRÜ Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG62c4,839$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.4752155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked NRG51c4,534$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.1926650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports47c4,513$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.5393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed NRG45c3,193$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.899844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed KRÜ Esports53c2,691$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.3521558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2837…39d8backed NRG56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked NRG51c1,865$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4345033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked KRÜ Esports50c1,801$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4531153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked KRÜ Esports63c1,554$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.121353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG47c1,442$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.6170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db5…aee3backed NRG57c1,262$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked NRG46c1,085$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.214152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked NRG36c1,066$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.811631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed KRÜ Esports46c1,002$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…9531backed KRÜ Esports51c972.52$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.546100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed KRÜ Esports46c956.19$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.0626051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed KRÜ Esports47c932.09$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.489953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG43c929.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.87934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked KRÜ Esports44c773.12$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9515342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG56c737.02$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8461035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed KRÜ Esports36c735.62$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.87342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NRG40c710.04$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4730147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports49c708.88$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked KRÜ Esports35c655.37$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.993850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG56c630.71$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.8165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed NRG46c566.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.823745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed NRG39c543.64$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.654835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked KRÜ Esports50c508.34$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2422352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports45c471.85$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed NRG53c421$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1354751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed NRG63c395.43$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.121163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+59.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed KRÜ Esports52c356.2$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.39041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed KRÜ Esports36c344.48$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.079142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed KRÜ Esports38c321.9$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.639654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed KRÜ Esports51c289.62$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.049859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports45c287.83$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.594361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed NRG65c287.76$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.553450%17 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed KRÜ Esports37c245.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.763141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked NRG58c243.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked KRÜ Esports37c241.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5115450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Esports44c241.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.31,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d2f2backed KRÜ Esports46c234.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed NRG63c233.04$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.829551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NRG45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed NRG68c196.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3923644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…613bbacked KRÜ Esports41c190.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.684062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed KRÜ Esports57c190.87$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.083951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed KRÜ Esports38c184.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.249640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed NRG37c179.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.851921.1%4 W · 15 L-7.3wins-0.38per pick59cpaid-69.8%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked KRÜ Esports55c178.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed KRÜ Esports37c164.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4416046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked NRG37c163.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2910333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked NRG50c163.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6210455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed KRÜ Esports42c155.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1612951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked NRG40c144$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.286939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed NRG39c144$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.649438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG44c139.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.991,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked NRG58c134.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.982352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211b…1872backed KRÜ Esports37c130.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed NRG40c126.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5619240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NRG44c125.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0522018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed KRÜ Esports47c124.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.987044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG54c118.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0463652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed KRÜ Esports52c110.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4729151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed KRÜ Esports37c106.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.326841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked KRÜ Esports36c105.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.754439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed NRG47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.415228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4bcb…3a30backed KRÜ Esports43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked NRG42c97.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.533043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked NRG44c88.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.656053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…007bbacked KRÜ Esports39c88.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked KRÜ Esports45c83.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.099148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed KRÜ Esports57c82.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.493542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f07…b30ebacked KRÜ Esports57c81.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.212548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG36c80.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.855240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db8…975ebacked NRG55c77.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.57944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed KRÜ Esports59c74.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.512350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed NRG39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3213336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed NRG39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3212633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed NRG39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3215839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed KRÜ Esports52c64.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.884065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…cee0backed KRÜ Esports48c60.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked KRÜ Esports37c57.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed KRÜ Esports63c54.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.128151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG27c52.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9077…6961backed NRG36c48.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7176…c511backed KRÜ Esports56c46.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed KRÜ Esports53c46.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.875561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed NRG64c45.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed KRÜ Esports39c45.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.021963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f0f…5b90backed KRÜ Esports39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+47.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed KRÜ Esports49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb0…ed25backed KRÜ Esports41c35.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c8…b82abacked NRG40c34.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad86…b39ebacked KRÜ Esports62c31.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed KRÜ Esports57c31.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2016…3998backed NRG47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked KRÜ Esports55c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8119661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8283…828abacked KRÜ Esports38c29.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9f…0f61backed KRÜ Esports48c29.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.