Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbfc98a09d7fb164efbd71c7886a5da5fa559895b213a140964149642f1a3c62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Esportsof NRG, KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked KRÜ Esports | 63c | 5,703$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.63 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked NRG | 36c | 2,891$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.97 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG | 37c | 1,029$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.27 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed NRG | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked NRG | 41c | 821.16$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked NRG | 41c | 585.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed KRÜ Esports | 58c | 535.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 36c | 372.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed KRÜ Esports | 70c | 171.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed NRG | 41c | 164.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NRG | 39c | 89.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed NRG | 40c | 87.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed KRÜ Esports | 61c | 62.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked KRÜ Esports | 70c | 34.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked NRG | 57c | 28.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.