TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andrea Guerrieriof Andrea Guerrieri, Carlo Alberto Caniato
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato14c55,808$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.8911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Guerrieri54c5,619$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.328,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato5c5,019$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3362140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Guerrieri58c2,304$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Carlo Alberto Caniato11c1,844$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6232240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Andrea Guerrieri59c1,522$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.244,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Carlo Alberto Caniato30c1,211$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.991,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Carlo Alberto Caniato4c1,106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.826,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Andrea Guerrieri72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28045343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Carlo Alberto Caniato41c774.58$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.372,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Andrea Guerrieri64c643.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.281,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri65c641.94$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.135,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Carlo Alberto Caniato18c562$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.284,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Carlo Alberto Caniato46c498.8$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.839,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c445.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.754,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato3c433$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2421317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Carlo Alberto Caniato13c420$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.151,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Carlo Alberto Caniato38c412$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Guerrieri74c382.07$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.058,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Carlo Alberto Caniato12c377.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.623349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Carlo Alberto Caniato24c351.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.092,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Carlo Alberto Caniato31c309.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.867838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Andrea Guerrieri65c308$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.82,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c308$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.853843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Andrea Guerrieri75c301.49$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4959965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato46c282$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.782,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Carlo Alberto Caniato27c260.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7132935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Andrea Guerrieri55c229.17$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.172445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Guerrieri65c225.57$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Carlo Alberto Caniato8c222.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5232853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Carlo Alberto Caniato29c221.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.21,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Carlo Alberto Caniato28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Andrea Guerrieri70c178.44$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.242,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato40c172.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.357,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Carlo Alberto Caniato6c168.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Carlo Alberto Caniato36c160.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7239149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Andrea Guerrieri66c149.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.751,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Carlo Alberto Caniato34c149.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.757,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Carlo Alberto Caniato43c144.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.884,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Carlo Alberto Caniato24c139$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1459253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad77…d9c4backed Carlo Alberto Caniato9c129.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.633941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Andrea Guerrieri59c128.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Carlo Alberto Caniato19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6963746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato31c115.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9221838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato23c101.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.821,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Carlo Alberto Caniato24c101.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.091,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato25c100.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Andrea Guerrieri63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Andrea Guerrieri65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3556062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Andrea Guerrieri55c98.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.271,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Carlo Alberto Caniato16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Carlo Alberto Caniato43c93.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.33,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Carlo Alberto Caniato47c85.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Carlo Alberto Caniato37c83.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.722,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Carlo Alberto Caniato30c80.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Carlo Alberto Caniato18c79.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.223,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato29c78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c69.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.422,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Andrea Guerrieri65c69.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.422,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Andrea Guerrieri48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56650%33 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Carlo Alberto Caniato30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato27c58.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Carlo Alberto Caniato30c54.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Andrea Guerrieri79c52.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c48.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.999249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Andrea Guerrieri65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1520158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Andrea Guerrieri65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c46.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato38c45.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2266834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Carlo Alberto Caniato26c44.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.591,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Andrea Guerrieri65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.465853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c38.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Andrea Guerrieri80c37.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.539845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…c9aabacked Andrea Guerrieri74c34.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.083174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Andrea Guerrieri65c34.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0533352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato35c34.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9412945.7%59 W · 70 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdff…d140backed Carlo Alberto Caniato45c33.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Carlo Alberto Caniato39c32.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7121551.6%111 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d6…ed1ebacked Andrea Guerrieri49c31.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+184.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Carlo Alberto Caniato35c31.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.033,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Andrea Guerrieri50c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked Andrea Guerrieri62c26.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.146127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Andrea Guerrieri72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.812,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato54c20.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.879260.9%56 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Andrea Guerrieri55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0623634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Andrea Guerrieri66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.859366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Andrea Guerrieri77c17.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.931,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Andrea Guerrieri76c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7967178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Andrea Guerrieri76c15.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7516350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1887…5008backed Andrea Guerrieri75c15.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.82862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Andrea Guerrieri68c14.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6413467.2%90 W · 44 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.