TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c3,783$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.521,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c3,145$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.3215742%66 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c3,113$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.593,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c2,219$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.992,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c884.67$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.491,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No53c743.54$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5640744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes33c614$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5517247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c613.76$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9364043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes49c559.67$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2779043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes50c480.38$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.194447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831a…23d9backed Yes46c439.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes43c367.79$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes49c307.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c302$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4762452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c299.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.981,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.788050%40 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes42c227.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962119%4 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes50c217.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.591435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No50c205.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8853140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c204.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010554.3%57 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes65c202.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010246.1%47 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c186.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No51c171.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.993467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c168$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9811447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes41c158.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.385756.1%32 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Yes46c149.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes34c137.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c132.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3242046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No53c119.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.416343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes49c114.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9527138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553429.4%10 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No66c106.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.467365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes51c103.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…57afbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741560%9 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9911741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No26c96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0414652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes50c94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes19c85.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.589532.6%31 W · 64 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes37c77.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.879937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes39c76.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No67c75.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.985653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c74.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes41c73.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302962.1%18 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes50c70.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes30c65.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.828822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…0f82backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes32c61.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.846640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes28c60.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No56c59.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1818554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.558846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No30c52.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.562055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No70c42.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0139558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184030%12 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes50c39.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.715341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No65c38.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.543141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes41c36.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157639.5%30 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No53c33.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.773557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.893342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes43c30.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6134…98b0backed Yes47c29.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No59c29.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1404…b3c0backed No57c26.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes49c26.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.946046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No77c24.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.572450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes52c23.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4139857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed Yes46c21.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e71…7913backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bef…1ad5backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf81e…b0c5backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf4…a67cbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No65c19.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.796946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed Yes70c15.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.