Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d74c2c0d4f83b2b17aeea896167bb1df71e3c046356032dbfe8c92e57842b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 6,543$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 68c | 3,015$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 2,781$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.92 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 2,183$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 29c | 1,067$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 54c | 468.74$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 60c | 387.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 293.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 34c | 177.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 74c | 168.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 156.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 120.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 100.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 60c | 93.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 79.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed No | 59c | 67.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 63.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 34c | 62.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 65c | 61.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 60.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 65c | 57.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 50.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 37c | 45.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed Yes | 23c | 43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 30c | 42.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…cc4bbacked No | 77c | 37.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 57c | 25.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 55c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 71c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?this page
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.