Other European Leagues · resolved market
Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bba8e0b788889072b938777fe1f371a44b4fb1893f99a38bc07328e335d8a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 42c | 1,776$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 938.02$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 193.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 53c | 179.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 48c | 153.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 140.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 77c | 120.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Under | 52c | 116.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 109.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 108.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 53c | 100.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Under | 51c | 97.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 69.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 65.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 62.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 45.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 44c | 45.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 36c | 35.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed Over | 75c | 33.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 59c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.