South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a050c4c8f2169e8b7d0306bbc19340c558999bdf0fdbdb777b3727b24b0b49b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,321$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 713.52$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.83 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 48c | 453.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 22c | 447$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 401.34$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 389.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 75c | 225$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 59c | 178$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 160.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 129.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 59c | 92.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 41c | 81.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 64.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 57.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 58c | 42.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 48c | 39.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 32.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 39c | 30.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Over | 50c | 26.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.