La Liga · resolved market
Girona vs. Alaves: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215609bc36fa46e95c33bb510b60479a74346cc781f34a614a2e4784b859a2c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 43c | 10,000$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 57c | 8,519$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.91 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,197$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.19 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 58c | 1,274$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.87 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 729.58$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.19 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 11c | 649.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 46c | 609.29$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 58c | 600.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 58c | 489.19$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 67c | 428.52$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 26c | 384.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 355.56$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 58c | 333$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 284.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 56c | 177.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 55c | 87.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 59c | 87.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 49c | 59.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 42c | 59.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 42c | 58.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Under | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…8a20backed Over | 44c | 26.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 56c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona vs. Alaves: O/U 2.5this page
- Girona vs. Alaves: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Girona (-0.5)Girona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.