TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd51…1041backed Under21c9,450$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,429.782475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under31c6,501$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,515.7612020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c5,908$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.713,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under41c4,394$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.472853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c3,863$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c3,727$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.064,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over31c1,963$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.615927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over79c1,866$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.962,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c1,266$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.182844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c1,174$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.858041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under19c956.23$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.2835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over79c900$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.569350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over79c900$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.575051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c687.06$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.422939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c453.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under22c438.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.559336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Over18c387.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9380%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over79c371$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.511,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over48c343.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over65c305$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2512445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c283.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3611345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c265.82$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0920252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under54c203.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over78c203.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.61,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6717044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b97…f684backed Under52c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over62c180.73$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over79c155$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over49c146.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-87.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c136$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over78c128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.391,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under69c124.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.720043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Under34c119.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.081968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under18c106.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c104.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over13c97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.844247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under18c96.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7922246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c84.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over52c77.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6520253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c74.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over27c70.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2310634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd06…ba7bbacked Over43c69.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over58c68.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over60c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over77c65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.052263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over61c59.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.194866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Under71c57.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Under53c50.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7737…7851backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over41c49.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0928138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c46.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ac…cec0backed Over68c44.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over78c41.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.568050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over59c32.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3212964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x034e…f79dbacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over45c28.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over78c28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.865853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x989c…3003backed Over51c25.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over53c25.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.359750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fd1…344fbacked Over49c20.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a63…fe88backed Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Over52c19.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83e…5ce3backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over75c13.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2217960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over80c13.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.