TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c21,974$11,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,294.514,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over58c8,449$4,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.677656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over44c4,400$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9361050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.995927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under42c2,552$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.1615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68b…f6eebacked Over58c2,104$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c2,093$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.7982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Under61c2,085$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over24c1,600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3846543.1%28 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over57c1,563$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.1910450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8556756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over58c1,396$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over58c1,092$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.8822246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over58c999.98$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over59c823.86$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.084645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over58c799.97$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.989751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under42c697.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.828351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c616.06$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under41c496.82$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1232545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c437.51$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over46c421.74$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1948041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under56c344$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over29c343$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.472536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17412159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over51c295.76$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8413728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over58c288.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2810760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over58c286$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009622.9%22 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under41c274.83$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.445461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over58c240$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.29556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Over25c236.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over27c207.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3956439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under44c175.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2620050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over59c168.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.773053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.89753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.29660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.29354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over52c134.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0410634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under42c125.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.078672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over33c115.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5916040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over51c101.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.766225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over59c101$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5938748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over57c100.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2910843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c97.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.12,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c92.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.971,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7310450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.48758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under80c77.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c75.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0275051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under42c74.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1415655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c72.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over58c67.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0919358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Under45c66.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.08944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Under41c62.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.88457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over50c58.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.324048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under41c52.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.816660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over31c52.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1420241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over58c50.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0130842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under41c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7445250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under52c48.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.078843.2%38 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c47.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1635759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over27c44.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.515451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.29163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under42c38.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.095558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe743…ab5fbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x195d…2decbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under63c34.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8117960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over60c33.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.975263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc407…0875backed Under55c30.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159950.5%50 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over60c26.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153751.4%19 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under48c25.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0719555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under45c25.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8723455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under42c24.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9833161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.