La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b745c5997ce0dffbddfb491aed7ec9254f72a14e560f5b7198eaf1afee0274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 63c | 3,842$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.14 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 37c | 3,754$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,254$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.64 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 35c | 1,663$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.2 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 65c | 1,531$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 37c | 1,273$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.01 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 1c | 1,112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 1,056$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 6c | 791.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 742.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 617.77$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Over | 36c | 463.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 32c | 299.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Under | 68c | 169.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 36c | 133.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 64c | 108.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 107$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Under | 63c | 70.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 37c | 56.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 65c | 53.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…9ac5backed Under | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 69c | 26.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.