La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24da7a9489560e46afb1efd26abc07ec283447660b3b2ea75bd7c5db0d7c5958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof Club Atlético de Madrid, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 4,691$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.11 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 2,705$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 71c | 899.98$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.6 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed RC Celta de Vigo | 72c | 784.03$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed RC Celta de Vigo | 72c | 694.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed RC Celta de Vigo | 72c | 689$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 74c | 591.21$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 337.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 314.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 254.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 132$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 127.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 71c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed RC Celta de Vigo | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 76.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 60.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 44.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…91fcbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 41.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.