Cricket · resolved market
Will England win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d1b3f37c570c16b31645671893999e54c3149fd07b0d7c1d1278b412d33f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 4c | 28,938$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.71 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed No | 4c | 6,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 66c | 3,034$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.06 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed No | 35c | 1,362$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.86 | 141 | 70.2%99 W · 42 L | +20.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 3c | 1,058$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 11c | 926.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked No | 5c | 887.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 26c | 830.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f1…474cbacked Yes | 69c | 811.58$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes | 65c | 781.71$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 691.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 76c | 609.3$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 18c | 571.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 75c | 528.3$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed No | 33c | 438.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 5c | 415.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…b303backed Yes | 65c | 347.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 10c | 292.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Yes | 70c | 230$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 66c | 205.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 65c | 195.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 28c | 164.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 34c | 156.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 150.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 36c | 134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 26c | 118.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…5425backed Yes | 78c | 97.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…1604backed Yes | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Yes | 65c | 72.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 33c | 72.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 70.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…fa3ebacked Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…7e6ebacked No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…fcf8backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…0b6bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 65c | 61.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…ca07backed Yes | 66c | 57.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked No | 24c | 57.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 36c | 54.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…08f6backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed No | 35c | 49.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2d…31febacked Yes | 68c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Yes | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 35c | 44.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 32c | 39.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked No | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 71c | 37.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…963ebacked Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Yes | 69c | 33.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d16abacked Yes | 65c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…fd28backed Yes | 74c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…8b0abacked Yes | 67c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…f29ebacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win?this page
- Will Pakistan win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.