Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Surrey vs Kent
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4873bb9b6281fb070387d75c1772b4e4a01477f874dd2b0c484597929c60dd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Surrey, Kent
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Kent | 2c | 11,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Surrey | 47c | 5,626$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kent | 53c | 3,594$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.11 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kent | 56c | 1,485$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.1 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…973ebacked Kent | 54c | 1,470$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Surrey | 46c | 1,470$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.8 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 58c | 1,276$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.49 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb255…cd57backed Surrey | 37c | 554.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Surrey | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Kent | 56c | 343.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked Kent | 53c | 322.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Kent | 10c | 317.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Kent | 8c | 248.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Surrey | 39c | 241.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Surrey | 45c | 234.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Kent | 52c | 226.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Kent | 53c | 191.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Kent | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Kent | 54c | 176$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Surrey | 78c | 159.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Surrey | 48c | 157$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Surrey | 60c | 153.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Surrey | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kent | 47c | 122.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Kent | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Kent | 55c | 100.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Kent | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Surrey | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Surrey | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Surrey | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Surrey | 76c | 85.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Surrey | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Surrey | 47c | 76.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…55ebbacked Surrey | 38c | 72.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Kent | 59c | 59.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Kent | 43c | 55.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kent | 45c | 50.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Surrey | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Surrey | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Kent | 60c | 42.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Surrey | 49c | 41.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Surrey | 46c | 41.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Surrey | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Kent | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Surrey | 38c | 39.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kent | 51c | 34.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Kent | 55c | 32.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Surrey | 40c | 31.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Surrey | 41c | 30.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Surrey | 40c | 27.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…f596backed Surrey | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…eee4backed Kent | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Surrey | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…5f94backed Surrey | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…22a4backed Kent | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kent | 51c | 20.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Kent | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.