Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Sussex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a01c909e91b9bc2826b672e6e2eee91e0005ff3b38819be8ecdee0ba0c019ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Derbyshireof Derbyshire, Sussex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Sussex | 35c | 2,769$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Derbyshire | 65c | 1,082$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.46 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Derbyshire | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Derbyshire | 64c | 985.5$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Derbyshire | 71c | 840.28$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Sussex | 36c | 643.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Derbyshire | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Sussex | 6c | 520$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Sussex | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sussex | 37c | 416$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Derbyshire | 77c | 324.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sussex | 23c | 300.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Derbyshire | 77c | 277$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Sussex | 18c | 275.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Derbyshire | 65c | 270.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Derbyshire | 65c | 270.77$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sussex | 38c | 232.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sussex | 35c | 207$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Sussex | 21c | 173.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Sussex | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sussex | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sussex | 32c | 115.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Derbyshire | 67c | 113.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Sussex | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Sussex | 37c | 81.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sussex | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Derbyshire | 67c | 77.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Derbyshire | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sussex | 18c | 63.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sussex | 39c | 55.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Sussex | 40c | 50.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Sussex | 35c | 50.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Sussex | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sussex | 36c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Sussex | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Derbyshire | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Sussex | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Derbyshire | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Sussex | 37c | 27.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Derbyshire | 65c | 27.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Derbyshire | 63c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.