Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Finland vs Germany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48d211120bb840a4fd8f1e6a67d0f42e932e6dd4e971b41fc63073dc4308ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Germanyof Finland, Germany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Finland | 14c | 1,600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.69 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Germany | 78c | 888.01$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Finland | 10c | 511.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Finland | 31c | 452.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Finland | 35c | 400.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Finland | 28c | 395.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Germany | 69c | 325.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Germany | 71c | 216.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Germany | 62c | 175$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Germany | 68c | 174.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Germany | 65c | 174$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Germany | 75c | 143.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Finland | 30c | 139.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Germany | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Germany | 57c | 118.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Finland | 26c | 116.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Finland | 24c | 103.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…00a4backed Germany | 69c | 102.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Germany | 55c | 100.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Finland | 30c | 98.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Finland | 27c | 98.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Germany | 76c | 85.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Germany | 67c | 84.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Germany | 73c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Germany | 80c | 73.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Finland | 44c | 69.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Germany | 65c | 68.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Germany | 78c | 65.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Germany | 72c | 60.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Germany | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Germany | 72c | 52.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Finland | 40c | 51.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…6432backed Germany | 72c | 44.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Finland | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Germany | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…0811backed Germany | 72c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Germany | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.