Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Glamorgan vs Essex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc3dcd5ca44753587f91598e1c8530573d6f74a56dc90b69ed6a41feba4b58c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Glamorgan, Essex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Glamorgan | 20c | 5,209$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.55 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Glamorgan | 5c | 2,180$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Essex | 78c | 1,880$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Glamorgan | 7c | 1,716$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Glamorgan | 5c | 1,030$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Glamorgan | 37c | 986.09$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.98 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Essex | 58c | 979.5$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Essex | 63c | 651.14$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Essex | 17c | 605.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Essex | 71c | 546.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 67c | 521.18$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Glamorgan | 21c | 509$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Glamorgan | 47c | 309.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Glamorgan | 57c | 199.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Glamorgan | 16c | 182.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Glamorgan | 31c | 177.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Glamorgan | 22c | 168.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Glamorgan | 21c | 166.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Glamorgan | 21c | 164.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Glamorgan | 11c | 160.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Glamorgan | 21c | 156$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Glamorgan | 78c | 143.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Essex | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 33cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Glamorgan | 22c | 129$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Glamorgan | 36c | 105.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Essex | 45c | 104.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Essex | 40c | 92.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Glamorgan | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Essex | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Essex | 59c | 81.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Glamorgan | 22c | 80.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Glamorgan | 59c | 67.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Glamorgan | 20c | 49.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Glamorgan | 64c | 39.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Essex | 75c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Glamorgan | 40c | 29.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Glamorgan | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.