Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Durham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d02b563c0d43ab5913657dc6a495599bb414155ca528cf65e5008e16ee4e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesexof Middlesex, Durham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Durham | 37c | 25,702$9,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572.86 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middlesex | 73c | 10,934$7,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Middlesex | 52c | 8,673$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Middlesex | 58c | 8,637$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.13 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Middlesex | 60c | 3,142$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.34 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Durham | 51c | 1,954$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.16 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Durham | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Durham | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Durham | 45c | 1,216$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.24 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Durham | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Middlesex | 56c | 858.04$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.64 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Middlesex | 26c | 769.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.45 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Middlesex | 30c | 571.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.24 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Middlesex | 74c | 544.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Durham | 65c | 540.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 70.8%75 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Durham | 38c | 527.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Durham | 44c | 511.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Middlesex | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Durham | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Durham | 67c | 299.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Middlesex | 58c | 291$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middlesex | 69c | 252.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Durham | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Durham | 47c | 228.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Durham | 43c | 222.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Middlesex | 65c | 182.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Middlesex | 56c | 181.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Durham | 38c | 172.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Middlesex | 73c | 159.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Middlesex | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Middlesex | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Middlesex | 46c | 141.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Middlesex | 51c | 140.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Durham | 51c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Middlesex | 76c | 130.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Middlesex | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Durham | 65c | 121.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Middlesex | 49c | 118.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Durham | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…102cbacked Middlesex | 67c | 100.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Durham | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Durham | 68c | 98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Durham | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Middlesex | 62c | 97.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Middlesex | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Durham | 49c | 82.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Middlesex | 49c | 80.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Middlesex | 70c | 71.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Middlesex | 51c | 68.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Middlesex | 45c | 66.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Durham | 51c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…20bbbacked Middlesex | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Durham | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Durham | 48c | 45.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Middlesex | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Durham | 47c | 41.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Middlesex | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Middlesex | 46c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…5969backed Durham | 49c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4bdabacked Middlesex | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Middlesex | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Durham | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Durham | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Middlesex | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.