Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Maria Andrienko vs Margaux Maquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80d96018750674dcf90aabc97402cc39f491b70c4dec195693bd93556b9d0bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Andrienkoof Maria Andrienko, Margaux Maquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1dd…fb67backed Maria Andrienko | 19c | 5,429$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.38 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Margaux Maquet | 50c | 3,814$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Margaux Maquet | 79c | 870$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.3 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Andrienko | 48c | 858.94$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Maria Andrienko | 61c | 492.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.46 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Margaux Maquet | 50c | 457.14$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Margaux Maquet | 68c | 366.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Margaux Maquet | 70c | 269.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maria Andrienko | 74c | 229.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Margaux Maquet | 21c | 224.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Margaux Maquet | 76c | 211$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Margaux Maquet | 78c | 187.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Margaux Maquet | 38c | 184.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Margaux Maquet | 50c | 182$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Margaux Maquet | 74c | 173.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Margaux Maquet | 76c | 145$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Maria Andrienko | 36c | 123.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Maria Andrienko | 49c | 101.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Margaux Maquet | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Margaux Maquet | 77c | 88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Maria Andrienko | 50c | 65.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Margaux Maquet | 50c | 58.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Margaux Maquet | 58c | 49.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Maria Andrienko | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Maria Andrienko | 54c | 34.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Maria Andrienko | 54c | 32.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Margaux Maquet | 50c | 31.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Maria Andrienko | 57c | 30.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…1507backed Margaux Maquet | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Maria Andrienko | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.