Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350ef80aa57f3b606ca4de67f41f34eaca7f8a55a92b0ea9b932a5d0f9064910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 33c | 6,419$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.44 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 66c | 2,326$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.9 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 1,845$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.64 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Under | 66c | 1,493$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Under | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 33c | 1,405$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.77 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Under | 72c | 1,378$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.79 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 68c | 1,040$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Under | 67c | 1,015$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 27c | 931.53$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 26c | 880.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 68c | 835$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Under | 69c | 832.84$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 30c | 593.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 66c | 581.18$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 69c | 555$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 66c | 508.25$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Under | 68c | 427.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 68c | 386.76$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Under | 69c | 369.57$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Under | 73c | 362.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Under | 73c | 355$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 354.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Under | 74c | 270.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 68c | 256$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Under | 66c | 240.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 8c | 182.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 176.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Under | 69c | 174$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 250 | 74.8%187 W · 63 L | +42.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Under | 66c | 168.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Under | 66c | 164.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Under | 73c | 155.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Over | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 27c | 150.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 140.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 23c | 123.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 29c | 102.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Under | 68c | 100.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Over | 33c | 95.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…98fbbacked Under | 66c | 88.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Under | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 29c | 86.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -15.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…211bbacked Under | 68c | 73.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…f521backed Under | 68c | 72.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Under | 66c | 65.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 27c | 60.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Under | 69c | 42.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 33c | 42.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…2e25backed Under | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 28c | 39.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…cb46backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed Under | 74c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 76c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Under | 68c | 20.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Under | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.