Lol · resolved market
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bda08d14625ed788116d9df755e1d1879a1c7be8416c3c48cdad82022eb72ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof KT Rolster Challengers, Saigon Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Saigon Warriors | 10c | 23,922$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.2 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Saigon Warriors | 7c | 3,477$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…84acbacked Saigon Warriors | 11c | 2,387$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Saigon Warriors | 9c | 1,725$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Saigon Warriors | 3c | 1,483$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Saigon Warriors | 10c | 1,289$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Saigon Warriors | 12c | 1,132$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Saigon Warriors | 7c | 1,086$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee3…e851backed Saigon Warriors | 1c | 1,038$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Saigon Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Saigon Warriors | 5c | 901.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Saigon Warriors | 10c | 797.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Saigon Warriors | 7c | 765.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…399ebacked Saigon Warriors | 9c | 764.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Saigon Warriors | 2c | 654.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Saigon Warriors | 4c | 518.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Saigon Warriors | 7c | 516.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…9327backed Saigon Warriors | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Saigon Warriors | 6c | 469.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Saigon Warriors | 7c | 468.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 237 | 30%71 W · 166 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Saigon Warriors | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…9683backed Saigon Warriors | 6c | 441.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Saigon Warriors | 6c | 429$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Saigon Warriors | 5c | 405.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 500 | 41.6%208 W · 292 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Saigon Warriors | 6c | 354.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 464 | 36.4%169 W · 295 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Saigon Warriors | 7c | 248.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Saigon Warriors | 12c | 221.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 306 | 43.1%132 W · 174 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Saigon Warriors | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Saigon Warriors | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 357 | 16.2%58 W · 299 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…ee2ebacked Saigon Warriors | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…9c83backed Saigon Warriors | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Saigon Warriors | 7c | 174.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Saigon Warriors | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Saigon Warriors | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Saigon Warriors | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Saigon Warriors | 11c | 130.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…cb46backed Saigon Warriors | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked Saigon Warriors | 9c | 120.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Saigon Warriors | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Saigon Warriors | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierthis page
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.