Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Irem Kurt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ecd8e7a71721ab4cc1eda679f6a467ca0533cd497378b55627c1e7f12d650ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edda Mamedovaof Edda Mamedova, Irem Kurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Irem Kurt | 58c | 16,895$9,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,790.53 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Edda Mamedova | 43c | 12,181$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Edda Mamedova | 53c | 1,078$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Irem Kurt | 17c | 1,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Edda Mamedova | 50c | 828$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Edda Mamedova | 76c | 803.04$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Irem Kurt | 28c | 724.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Edda Mamedova | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Irem Kurt | 57c | 500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Edda Mamedova | 61c | 362.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Edda Mamedova | 47c | 285.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Edda Mamedova | 44c | 228.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Irem Kurt | 16c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Irem Kurt | 14c | 145.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Irem Kurt | 18c | 143.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Edda Mamedova | 65c | 128.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked Edda Mamedova | 45c | 86.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Edda Mamedova | 80c | 78.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Edda Mamedova | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Edda Mamedova | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Edda Mamedova | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Edda Mamedova | 59c | 40.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Edda Mamedova | 76c | 37.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Edda Mamedova | 61c | 28.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Edda Mamedova | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Edda Mamedova | 42c | 25.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Edda Mamedova | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Edda Mamedova | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Edda Mamedova | 58c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Edda Mamedova | 64c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Edda Mamedova | 68c | 20.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Edda Mamedova | 64c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Edda Mamedova | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Irem Kurtthis page
- ITF Women Astana: Completed Match: Edda Mamedova vs Irem KurtYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.