Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Victoria Pohle vs Tilwith Di Girolami
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f9090150aafe5f05ad858eab57270fe767e7200277f88b8e729dfd82eee110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Pohleof Victoria Pohle, Tilwith Di Girolami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1029…c621backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 64c | 9,361$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Victoria Pohle | 42c | 3,489$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.3 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Victoria Pohle | 27c | 2,061$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.4 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Victoria Pohle | 32c | 1,176$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.59 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Victoria Pohle | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Victoria Pohle | 37c | 423$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Victoria Pohle | 39c | 318.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Victoria Pohle | 38c | 291.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Victoria Pohle | 45c | 219.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Victoria Pohle | 56c | 202.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Victoria Pohle | 42c | 176.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Victoria Pohle | 49c | 155.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Victoria Pohle | 37c | 121.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Victoria Pohle | 35c | 114.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Victoria Pohle | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Victoria Pohle | 38c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Victoria Pohle | 31c | 84.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 38c | 64.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 28c | 40.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 40c | 37.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 75c | 26.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Victoria Pohle | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Victoria Pohle | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Victoria Pohle | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 64c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.