Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Zoziya Kardava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97edffc0976789b999c5745e169a062572418ccc7b5363882afd499674304eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zoziya Kardavaof Isabel Pascual Montalvo, Zoziya Kardava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 24c | 5,027$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zoziya Kardava | 74c | 1,171$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Zoziya Kardava | 70c | 1,160$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.8 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Zoziya Kardava | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zoziya Kardava | 77c | 836.17$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 22c | 450.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Zoziya Kardava | 63c | 325.3$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Zoziya Kardava | 58c | 323.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 29c | 316.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zoziya Kardava | 67c | 212.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 34c | 210.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 18c | 160.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Zoziya Kardava | 47c | 125.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 18c | 122.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 31c | 107$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…285cbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 23c | 102.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zoziya Kardava | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zoziya Kardava | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Zoziya Kardava | 66c | 83.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Zoziya Kardava | 60c | 75.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Zoziya Kardava | 59c | 56.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Zoziya Kardava | 77c | 54.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Zoziya Kardava | 65c | 46.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Zoziya Kardava | 49c | 45.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Zoziya Kardava | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Zoziya Kardava | 48c | 38.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zoziya Kardava | 73c | 36.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Zoziya Kardava | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Zoziya Kardava | 53c | 32.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Zoziya Kardava | 59c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Zoziya Kardava | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Zoziya Kardava | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.