CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ae16b5130b3cd85000c631aac5f298bb1dbb33d576f2d98943987fe31e11b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 65c | 2,423$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.06 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Over | 38c | 485.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 43c | 340$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Over | 30c | 339.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 35c | 318.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 32c | 208$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Over | 34c | 193.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 62c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 35c | 144.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 30c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Over | 41c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Under | 71c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Group ASTEP won
- Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP - Map 1 WinnerSTEP won
- Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP - Map 2 WinnerSTEP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.