Premier League · resolved market
Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08768f90987ad7d9025a489768a6da3a55a778ce660c7d385b00ecc6d3b606fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,331$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 1,019$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.91 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…dd05backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 565.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 63c | 269.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 163.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 55c | 146.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 63c | 141.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 95.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 76c | 77.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 66.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 50.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 72c | 44.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 75c | 37.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 70c | 35.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 23.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Under | 71c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 65c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 18.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Colchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.