Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64d4cfbe85bc0433b5aea551114e094379fa8cb6ae1eb9277f8c48020810fa82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southampton FCof Southampton FC, Colchester United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colchester United FC | 68c | 10,232$6,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Southampton FC | 37c | 5,969$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.74 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Southampton FC | 26c | 5,354$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.29 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Southampton FC | 29c | 1,667$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colchester United FC | 75c | 1,370$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.48 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Colchester United FC | 65c | 1,091$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.36 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Southampton FC | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Southampton FC | 43c | 404.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southampton FC | 40c | 330$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Colchester United FC | 71c | 305.27$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Colchester United FC | 71c | 255.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Southampton FC | 40c | 185.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colchester United FC | 60c | 181.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colchester United FC | 39c | 166.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Colchester United FC | 63c | 165.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Southampton FC | 29c | 140.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colchester United FC | 69c | 122.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Colchester United FC | 66c | 119.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Southampton FC | 51c | 58.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Southampton FC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Southampton FC | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Colchester United FC | 70c | 45.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Southampton FC | 27c | 44.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Colchester United FC | 68c | 40.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Colchester United FC | 69c | 40.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Southampton FC | 52c | 33.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Colchester United FC | 68c | 30.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Colchester United FC | 71c | 30.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Southampton FC | 51c | 26.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Colchester United FC | 68c | 20.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Colchester United FC | 71c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)this page
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Colchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.