TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c3,279$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.944348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c2,101$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.2913049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under64c2,074$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4182528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under49c1,014$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.263836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c960.8$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5719849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over46c799.97$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.982642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c746.78$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.315925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c679.47$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c642.26$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under64c613.42$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.872748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under54c601.04$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over42c542.12$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.698129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under65c520.34$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.933951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c510.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.854647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c503.46$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0715140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over73c389.02$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over73c384.24$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1210837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under27c363.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+97.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under28c358.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+77%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over69c333.33$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over54c313.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under58c295.57$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.664452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf606…20b0backed Over69c256.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under31c231.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.053745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over72c229.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.084450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c220.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9411057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Under59c216.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under49c204.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over70c202.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x690d…70adbacked Under47c202.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c189.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.084854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over72c172.57$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under38c167.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.415100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over28c152.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.034835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over26c146$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over49c123.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under52c115.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under55c109.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.341838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c98.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.932453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over73c95.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.391450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over48c92.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8810633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over67c86.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over59c84.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over47c80.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1514951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under29c74.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.761020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a4…a65bbacked Over67c74.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over34c64.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under43c62.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f5…6210backed Over69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Over69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over29c56.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd1…344fbacked Over37c47.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over59c47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over72c45.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over42c44.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over45c44.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over40c39.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over55c35.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1301…2cf7backed Over70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Over72c35.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over51c34.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under53c32.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8874…ba49backed Over72c30.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d62…49c5backed Over42c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Over62c28.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under72c27.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over45c25.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Over73c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over71c20.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under52c19.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9765…6a70backed Under71c15.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.