Asian League · resolved market
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb643331368e53455031922ffbcf680ee9a48ab1566e83b882ee5660617242b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 31c | 6,392$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 6,156$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 69c | 2,889$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,917$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 31c | 1,058$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 76c | 656.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 553.77$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.67 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 547.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 49c | 519.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 506.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 346.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 340.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 330.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 34c | 296.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Over | 50c | 294.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 39c | 256.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 244.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 68c | 205.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 59c | 193.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 56c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 66c | 179.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 41c | 170$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…fd51backed Over | 73c | 127.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 73c | 112.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Over | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 59c | 69.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…20b0backed Over | 72c | 68.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 64.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 33c | 62.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 46c | 61.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 53c | 61.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 42c | 48.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 33c | 44.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 47c | 42.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Under | 50c | 39.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Under | 68c | 32.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 47c | 26.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 45c | 24.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…8eb3backed Over | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 71c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5this page
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Avispa Fukuoka won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)Avispa Fukuoka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.