Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddaec318462415004b1776ceeea5aad65a6d8bd2275f9b740d2548b7c9992255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 1,578$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.93 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 1,102$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.42 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 58c | 1,058$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 608.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.1 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 525.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.49 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 63c | 500.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 470$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 360.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 66c | 349.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 64c | 297$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Under | 39c | 295$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Over | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 166.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 77c | 140.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 136.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 77c | 128$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 60c | 117.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 22c | 110.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 53c | 93.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 40c | 62.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 76c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 56c | 24.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 78c | 20.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Under | 59c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 15.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.