Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fdde9a7fe65e22dc88d9b5f58c6ea834f8a600b03bfd17f274c5b70efbe422a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gwangju FCof FC Seoul, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gwangju FC | 78c | 687.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed FC Seoul | 24c | 502.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed FC Seoul | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed FC Seoul | 23c | 435.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gwangju FC | 77c | 430.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed FC Seoul | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gwangju FC | 77c | 199$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Seoul | 17c | 190.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gwangju FC | 78c | 117.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…b625backed FC Seoul | 23c | 80.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Seoul | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed FC Seoul | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed FC Seoul | 22c | 46.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Gwangju FC | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Gwangju FC | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Gwangju FC | 80c | 18.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Gwangju FC | 80c | 18.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Gwangju FC | 78c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Gwangju FC | 79c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)this page
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.