TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof ThunderTalk Gaming, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe795…8caebacked ThunderTalk Gaming77c13,757$10,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,62120354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c12,709$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.041,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Team WE65c10,141$6,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.3121448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team WE23c6,008$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.361,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed ThunderTalk Gaming1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.772844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team WE14c5,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.9967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed ThunderTalk Gaming65c3,965$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.746139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming73c3,659$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.7225751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c3,146$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.1976953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f4…2dffbacked Team WE67c2,855$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.991291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.37per pick55cpaid+99.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team WE79c2,332$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0970462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team WE44c2,184$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.81,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c2,110$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.2512137.2%45 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team WE64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9982452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team WE67c1,994$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.763161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Team WE38c1,894$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.971,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8069…42dfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming11c1,780$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.81711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85512338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE20c1,373$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.842,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Team WE69c1,311$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.284170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed ThunderTalk Gaming30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8723439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming34c1,285$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.23,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team WE30c1,230$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.192,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team WE70c1,155$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5518961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Team WE39c1,144$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.0167276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Team WE80c1,121$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0127248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team WE11c1,086$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.1885942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE64c1,010$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.361,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed ThunderTalk Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team WE65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Team WE21c959.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.496732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c899.98$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9950547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming45c886.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Team WE9c847.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2612639.7%50 W · 76 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Team WE64c748.25$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Team WE24c714.89$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1213345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team WE38c645.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.9750643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team WE39c628.42$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4152…5d75backed ThunderTalk Gaming30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8db3…7bddbacked Team WE68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed ThunderTalk Gaming34c599.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.994531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f20…e97fbacked Team WE19c567.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked ThunderTalk Gaming34c545.21$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3714840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team WE79c510$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.175342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Team WE79c510$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.518741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1895…8da7backed Team WE68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed Team WE50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…bb82backed ThunderTalk Gaming30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.994847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c477.08$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.441,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Team WE47c469.54$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3428942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed ThunderTalk Gaming32c463.13$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4443742.6%186 W · 251 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team WE65c460$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16140347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed ThunderTalk Gaming15c458.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.823915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c458.22$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.453844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked Team WE67c436.51$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1518065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming45c425.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7511037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Team WE20c416.04$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3314153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed ThunderTalk Gaming76c413.51$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2746153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed ThunderTalk Gaming50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c399.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.997759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Team WE50c386$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1935733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Team WE65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6932345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked Team WE66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.037460.8%45 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Team WE17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24925038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed ThunderTalk Gaming11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd7b…9910backed Team WE50c295$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Team WE69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Team WE70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7174344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Team WE70c284.4$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.424436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming75c279.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.495461.1%33 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Team WE20c257.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.339741.2%40 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Team WE43c242.14$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8430134.2%103 W · 198 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team WE67c213.54$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9463551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team WE17c209.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1756317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team WE65c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.568063.4%431 W · 249 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1246347.1%45 W · 589 L-1.9wins0.00per pick7cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed ThunderTalk Gaming50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Team WE68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6416058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7084450.1%423 W · 421 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Team WE55c196.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3139451%201 W · 193 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked Team WE64c188.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7339747.9%190 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Team WE50c177$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.536050.6%182 W · 178 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Team WE55c174.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.583259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed ThunderTalk Gaming36c164.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Team WE64c162.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.883455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Team WE66c161.2$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8110560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Team WE10c160$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Team WE24c159.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9924328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a1b…5c88backed Team WE64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Team WE65c155.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.559147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed ThunderTalk Gaming34c155.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5811937%44 W · 75 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team WE65c154.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1518755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Team WE65c152.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6879151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Team WE66c151.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6716336.2%59 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Team WE67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,02547.9%491 W · 534 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c146.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.171,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa271…a781backed Team WE70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867447.3%35 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.