Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1a33d5cd01d9b9cd067eaaf0fbc153b14c2ac58fdf06a7824fc0c5179ecd17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 8,613$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 5,657$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.51 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 36c | 4,840$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.93 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 3,664$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 3,417$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.57 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes | 51c | 3,279$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 2,719$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 1,998$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.64 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 1,726$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.05 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 567.25$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 65c | 537.17$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 453.75$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 441.36$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 263.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 71c | 260$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 22c | 255$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 242.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 201.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 51c | 183.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 63c | 179.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 71c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked No | 49c | 151.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…2305backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 71c | 116$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 80c | 115.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 80c | 106.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 48c | 102.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 92.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 78c | 90.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 20c | 81.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 66c | 74.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 33c | 71.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…6648backed Yes | 44c | 68.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 51c | 65.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 64.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed No | 72c | 59.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 20c | 50.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 24c | 47.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 41.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 25c | 40.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 38.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…d5ecbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 48c | 36.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 34c | 31.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 25.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 73c | 21.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 70c | 21.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.