La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a14e1ad85b55f790d9bea080537a3e651d66c97dd46c27f6e352f8a50e478d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 1,236$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 9c | 1,115$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…80f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,087$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 23c | 979.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 690.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 532.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 452.75$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…b5f3backed No | 76c | 394$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 299.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 76c | 131.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…78adbacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…e427backed Yes | 26c | 125.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 112.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…5c74backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 96.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 24c | 93.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 84.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked No | 78c | 83.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 22c | 54.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 53.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 52.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 48.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 68c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-08?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.